Tuesday, June 10, 2008

Equity Market Comment - 6/10/2008

I will continue to use this trading pattern which has been extremely accurate until it begins to break down in its accuracy.



The last two days of market action have shown exactly how indecisive current market participants are with both the Open and Close for the day being very close in price. These patterns are known as a Doji and are clear examples of a market that is stuck in a battle of bulls and bears, each fairly evenly matched.



Today also saw and inside day with a down close on the S&P 500 cash index, which should lead to a rally on Wednesday. However, this rally should be used as a selling point or an area to purchase put options as the current decline has not come even close to showing any sign of exhaustion.



The trading pattern that I have posted over the last couple of weeks on the Wilshire 5000 remains very much in play and as I have marked on the chart above, you can plainly see where we currently are in the sequence and also how accurate the pattern remains.



In a nutshell, we remain in a sell strength trading mode and continue to look for small rallies along the way to add to our short positions. Your equity allocation should be extremely defensive.






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