AGGRESSIVE EQUITY TRADES

NEW AGGRESSIVE STOCK PURCHASES TODAY WITH KB HOMES THE HIGHLIGHT.

CHECK THE OPEN EQUITY TRADES FOR THE NEW TRADES.

Equity Market Comment - 09/18/2007

Although the market continues to move up, the underlying strength remains highly suspect.

I have yet to get sucked into this rally as all the internals continue to call for a constructive re-test of the lows. Even the internals today for such a large move were very weak.

Keep your powder dry however and do not get sucked into the short term euphoria.

SOYBEANS - On The Watch List For A Short Sale

A strong downside reversal on Tuesday will signal a trend shift in the Soybeans.

Look to go short on any substantial weakness.

COCOA - Near Term Collapse Possible

Cocoa looks to be on the verge of a potential collapse.

On the next negative close, add to the existing short position.

ULTRA AGGRESSIVE PLAY

Here is a stock that has some serious potential to double and in short order.

Please keep in mind that this is a very aggressive play and a tight stop is necessary.

Actually a tight stop is necessary in any trade!

Equity Market Comment - 09/17/2007

Had a productive trading day in the equity markets as we remain short from 1479 and 1480.

I continue to anticipate lower prices to close out the re-test.

Get prepared to enter your buy orders on the stocks that were posted under the Trend Analysis Mutual Fund Post of a few days ago.

Increase Short Position - Ultra Short Term

We have about as close to a perfect set up here on the Ultra Short Term as you will get.

Increase the short position for a potential drubbing into the close.

Low Risk Put Buying Opportunity 09/17/07

U.S. Dollar - Looks Bullish Both Daily and Weekly

The dollar continues to look very appealing on the long side, both on the daily and weekly charts.

I am going to add yet another position to the U.S. Dollar Holdings right in this area here. We began to purchase dollars in the 80.65 area and this will be the second average down.

I certainly would not be doing this if I did not think the dollar is on the fringe of an explosive rally!!

LUMBER - From The Watch List To Full Force Action

Lumber made quite an impressive showing in the last part of the week and I have been trying to get long, but have been unsuccessful as stops were triggered. I am not complaining about the stops mind you, they have been one of my best friends through the years.

With all of this in mind, I am going to give it another try on the long side as the technical and fundamental work continues to support higher prices.

We are long from 247.70 with a stop at 239.60.

Equity Market Comment - 09/14/2007

Stocks continue to mark time before the final re-test is put into place.

The action over the last week has simply not been constructive and continues to support one more push lower before the next intermediate term upleg can get started in earnest.

Terra Nitrogen - Stat Alert For an Entry Point

TNH has been quite the star and has responded very well to many of the technical ratios and cycles.

With this in mind, look to add to your position that was established at the $66 buy target on a pullback to $101 or $87.

The upside potential for TNH is simply incredible and those who rode the stock from $22 to $140 are in for an even better return on the next move higher!

Oh, did I mention the amazing Dividend Yield? Of course the payout is different every quarter, but it still offers some very nice icing on the cake!!

GHL - Some Serious Upside Potential

GHL has some great Technical and Fundamental potential.

Upside targets are north of $130 and the stock has acted very nicely after bouncing from the 50% level.

No doubt in my mind that this little ditty is going into my account upon the completion of the re-test.

Equity Market Comment 09/13/07

Do not get hood-winked into this rally we are currently seeing in equity prices.

The work continues to suggest strongly that the complete re-test has not run the course and this rally we are having now is NOT the starting point of a new intermediate term move up.

The hourly chart gave a sell signal today and the work continues to call for lower prices in the 1412 to 1432 area on the S&P 500.

Aggressive Traders can look to purchase put options in here for a potential of 50 or more S&P points.

TREND ANALYSIS MUTUAL FUND

In order to give you a head start I am posting the buy candidates for what will be titled the Trend Analysis Mutual Fund.

The mutual fund will be posted in the sidebar along with the appropriate statistics. I have laid this fund out to achieve aggressive returns while taking below average risk. It should out do the major averages handily.

The following are the stocks and each will be given an equal weighting from the start.

CPX, FMD, AXS, TCK, MEOH, PTEN, BJS, WPC, MTEX, ACAS, ARLP, CT, ASPV, PHLY, DB, UBS, JPM, BAC, TNH, ABR, PSP, PXN, PHO

Please keep in mind that these stocks have yet to be purchased, but as soon as they have been purchased I will then set up the sidebar on the blog to track the performance.

SHORT COCOA

LUMBER - Stopped Out Today - Loss 17.3%

Stopped out of the long lumber position put into place yesterday.
Lumber remains on the watch list for re-entry on the long side.

Equity Market Comment 09/12/07

Nothing really new to report on the equity markets.

I continue to look for the completion of the re-test of the August 16th low, with the blue line supports on the chart as targets.

Once the market has this re-test out of the way then it can begin what I think will be a massive leg up. The 4th quarter of this year is setting up to be a humdinger!!

I will try and post the buy list tonight or tomorrow. It will be kept track of on the side bar under the title of Trend Analysis Mutual Fund.

NEW COMMODITY TRADES AND WATCH LIST UPDATES

Long Lumber Today @ 245.70

Tight Stop @ 243.10

Gander Mountain - Testing The Limits

While Gander Mountain has tested my patience to say the least, it reached a low risk buying area today.

I continue to believe that patience with the stock will be greatly rewarded and an average down in the stock would be a strong option.